How To Max Out At Every Fantasy Football Position (Ft. Matthew Berry)
Released on 09/04/2023
There is absolutely a strategy
to draft your fantasy football team specifically
with each of the positions.
If you listen to me and you pay attention
throughout the year, you'll have a shot at the title,
by the end.
[Host] Roughly 40 million people play fantasy football
and Matthew Barry is the absolute expert.
So my name is Matthew Barry
and my official title is Senior Fantasy
and Sports Betting Analyst for NBC Sports and Peacock.
I'm often referred to the Godfather of Fantasy Football.
[Host] Matthew Berry is gonna
take us position by position,
highlighting what stats make a successful fantasy option.
[upbeat music]
When it comes to quarterbacks in general,
what you want is dual threat quarterbacks.
Quarterbacks that not only get you fantasy points
with their arm, but with their legs.
Last season of the top six quarterbacks
in fantasy points per game, four of them
had 700 or more rushing yards and in fact,
eight of the top 10 fantasy quarterbacks
in points per game last year had at least 350 yards.
You really want a dual threat quarterback because
if they don't get you fantasy points with their legs
you need them to have 40 passing touchdown upside
and there just aren't a lot of quarterbacks
like that in the NFL right now.
I also think it's important to understand tiers,
Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts
are kind of the elite top three,
but there's a clear top eight quarterbacks.
What you really want is quarterbacks that run
and throw that have talents around them.
You can be the best quarterback in the world,
but if you've got the worst offensive line,
it's hard to throw from your back.
Josh Allen's a great example.
Josh Allen had a bad completion percentage.
They said he was more of a runner than a thrower.
Year three, Josh Allen gets Stefon Diggs,
one of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
What happens, he becomes the number one quarterback
in fantasy, everyone talks about his accuracy
and elite passing.
Did Josh suddenly become a better quarterback?
Yes he did.
Having Stefon Diggs to throw to,
makes you a better quarterback.
[upbeat music]
For the running back position,
volume is key, the top five running backs
in fantasy points per game last season
all had at least 310 touches,
16 of the top 20 had at least 250 touches, all finished
as top 20 running backs in fantasy points per game.
The next thing is what kind of touches are they getting?
Specifically, we want to look for high value touches,
receptions and red zone touches.
Are they getting the ball when the team gets
inside their opponent's 20 yard line, that's the red zone.
Are they getting it in goal to go situations
which is inside and opponent's 10 yards?
So ideally you want running backs that touch the ball a lot
and that they touch the ball a lot when they get close
to the goal line and they touch the ball a lot
from their quarterback, not just on first and second down
but also on third down as part of the pass attack.
[upbeat music]
In terms of wide receiver,
that's somebody that is earning a high percentage
of targets, target share and targets for routes run.
Wide receivers need to have the ability to earn targets
by getting open.
The actual best wide receivers in the NFL
tend to be the ones who score the most fantasy points.
Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase, Cooper Kupp,
Tyreek kill, Stefon Diggs,
those guys are the best wide receivers
in the NFL and they also are the ones who score
the most fantasy points.
If you want some efficiency metrics,
if you want to get a little bit dirty, target share,
targets per route run, yards per route run are all good
efficiency metrics for wide receivers,
wide receivers tend to be safer early round picks
due to consistency and lower injury risk.
When you think about it,
running backs are being tackled hard.
They're going in between the pile,
wide receivers they bounce out of bounds, they're being hit
by a defensive back, not a defensive lineman.
Wide receivers tend to have a lower injury risk.
I also like rookies by the way,
look at the second half rookie wide receivers,
there's a number of talented wide receivers,
they might starts slow as rookies, but over the second half
of the year will have a huge impact.
You think about last year with guys
like Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Jahan Dotson at times
that's another place to look
for as you get further into the season.
[upbeat music]
And then at the tight end position,
what you want is you want see how many snaps.
are they out on a passing flight?
Are they used primarily as a blocker?
Are they used as a passer?
Sometimes they're really just glorified wide receivers.
What's their opportunity?
We can look at talent, if they have a good quarterback.
Is the tight end used more as a blocker in this offense
or is the tight end used as a passing weapon in the offense?
Generally speaking, I either want to be one
of the first people in my league to get a tight end
or one of the last,
because having an elite tight end can be a huge advantage.
Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews TJ Hockenson,
for me are those top three.
I think they stand up above the rest.
[upbeat music]
We've spent a lot of time looking at trying to predict
kickers scoring and kicker scoring year over year over year
and generally speaking
the best kicker in fantasy football
and like the 12th kicker in fantasy football,
the difference is like one and a half points a game.
There's just not much difference.
There's a lot of variance.
You like kickers on good offenses, you like kickers
that play indoors in warm weather cities
so they're not often kicking in bad weather.
You can look at defenses that give up the most field goals
that have good red zone defense
but bad defense in the middle of the field,
kind of the bend don't break defenses,
their teams will come down
and they often will kick potentially speaking,
it doesn't make sense to draft a kicker
before the last round.
[upbeat music]
With defenses, you can predict something.
You can predict, hey, this is a team that likes
to blitz a lot.
So probably they'll generate some sacks
maybe a few more turnovers.
But honestly it's generally fairly flukey.
If you look at defensive scoring year after year
it rarely carries forward from season to season.
So streaming is always a a much better option than saying
I'm gonna go out to target this.
There are defenses that we think are gonna be pretty good,
the Eagles and the Niners,
but you're often better off of just picking
the defense that's playing inept offense week after week.
[Host] Now that You have your team built,
let's get to the most important part.
A fantasy team name is very important,
this is not a decision to take lightly.
The team name should reflect your personality
and ideally insult somebody else in your league.
Fantasy football, there is no one right way to play.
There is no one right way to draft.
Ultimately, you have to figure out what works
for you and do what you want to do.
[upbeat music]
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